Modeled Line Rating Forecasts

Hourly, vintage-stamped screening estimates for mapped transmission lines across every supported US grid.

Native record
ISO line x valid hour x forecast vintage x method x model version
hourly forecast, refreshed daily publication cadence
Evidence
Forecast data
Forward-looking values with an explicit issue time
In Ask the Grid
Transmission on the ERCOT map
Values for the live grid surface

Overview

Each row joins a public line-map snapshot to route-sampled forecast weather, a published owner or regional assumption profile, the validation margin, model version, and materialization run. The result is a temperature-adjusted IEEE 738 conductor estimate capped at an equipment floor fitted to ERCOT's submitted temperature/rating tables; it is not an operator facility rating or transfer limit because the public map does not provide the actual conductor, clearance, relay, transformer, or terminal-equipment limits of any facility.

Query contract

For each ISO line and valid_time, select the latest forecast_as_of available before the analysis cutoff for the requested method and model_version.

Analysis rules

  • Resolve one forecast vintage per ISO, line_id, valid_time, method, and model_version before aggregating.
  • rating_change_pct compares two modeled currents: one at the applied air temperature and one at the profile reference temperature, both subject to the fitted cap. The denominator is not a published rating of this individual facility. Reference conditions differ by profile; never sum the percentages or relabel them as transfer capacity.

Related analysis

  • line identity and route geometry and voltage and owner · Match line_id to the line_snapshot_time used by the model run.
  • primary forecast weather and route sample conditions · Match valid_time and forecast_as_of, then spatially sample the mapped route.

Interpretation

  • These are public-data screening estimates, not ISO or transmission-owner facility ratings, emergency ratings, dynamic line ratings, or transfer limits.
  • The public line map does not identify the actual conductor, clearance, relay, transformer, or terminal-equipment limit, any of which can bind below the modeled conductor estimate.

Access

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Schema41

Column
Type
valid_timeDateTime64(6, 'UTC')
forecast_as_ofDateTime64(6, 'UTC')
line_snapshot_timeDateTime64(6, 'UTC')
isoLowCardinality(String)
line_idLowCardinality(String)
line_nameNullable(String)
voltage_kvNullable(Float64)
methodLowCardinality(String)
model_versionLowCardinality(String)
rating_ratioFloat64
rating_change_pctFloat64
ambient_temp_cNullable(Float64)
temperature_guardband_cNullable(Float64)
applied_wind_msNullable(Float64)
applied_wind_angle_degNullable(Float64)
applied_solar_wm2Nullable(Float64)
applied_pressure_paNullable(Float64)
observed_wind_msNullable(Float64)
observed_wind_angle_degNullable(Float64)
observed_solar_wm2Nullable(Float64)
observed_pressure_paNullable(Float64)
bearing_degNullable(Float64)
limiting_lonNullable(Float64)
limiting_latNullable(Float64)
sample_countNullable(Int32)
weather_fallback_sample_countNullable(Int32)
assumption_profileLowCardinality(String)
assumption_providerLowCardinality(String)
assumption_sourceString
reference_ambient_temp_cFloat64
reference_wind_msFloat64
reference_wind_angle_degFloat64
reference_solar_wm2Float64
max_conductor_temp_cFloat64
ambient_floor_cNullable(Float64)
floor_appliedNullable(Bool)
representative_voltage_kvInt32
conductor_diameter_mFloat64
weather_sourceLowCardinality(String)
run_idString
ingested_atDateTime64(6, 'UTC')

Sample data

valid_timeforecast_as_ofline_snapshot_timeisoline_idline_namevoltage_kvmethodmodel_versionrating_ratiorating_change_pctambient_temp_ctemperature_guardband_capplied_wind_msapplied_wind_angle_degapplied_solar_wm2applied_pressure_paobserved_wind_msobserved_wind_angle_degobserved_solar_wm2observed_pressure_pabearing_deglimiting_lonlimiting_latsample_countweather_fallback_sample_countassumption_profileassumption_providerassumption_sourcereference_ambient_temp_creference_wind_msreference_wind_angle_degreference_solar_wm2max_conductor_temp_cambient_floor_cfloor_appliedrepresentative_voltage_kvconductor_diameter_mweather_sourcerun_idingested_at
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-15ec49bba1193369Moffat Substation → Lake Belton Substation138ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31012.248700.89316010001013252.2627129.6613010132514.3436-97.4339131.14141220ercot-regional-publicERCOT regional default (AEP Texas table)https://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.89316010008524.5true1150.0277public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-15d6d39d4160a82bSand Lake Switching Station transmission line138ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31014.334900.6096901023.911013254.3211108.64910101325131.4325-103.46380431.50923520ercot-txued-publicTXUEDhttps://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.6096901023.919021.5true1150.0277public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-156b9a5fc3afad2eBallinger Substation transmission line69ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31011.68100.89316010001013253.2916144.19250101325-121.7185-99.94441131.7429420ercot-regional-publicERCOT regional default (AEP Texas table)https://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.89316010008524.5true690.0183public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-15692d9f4b8f16acCalvert Substation transmission line69ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31012.121200.89316010001013252.1154124.34280101325-83.6277-96.91629831.02217820ercot-regional-publicERCOT regional default (AEP Texas table)https://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.89316010008524.5true690.0183public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-151643aba35fcb30Salem Substation → Colorado City Substation138ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31012.249400.89316010001013253.8639161.60670101325-104.2513-101.08640232.39029440ercot-regional-publicERCOT regional default (AEP Texas table)https://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.89316010008524.5true1150.0277public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-14f2d5140b154e57Westbrook Substation transmission line69ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31012.316700.89316010001013253.8515159.5080101325-102.8474-101.01432432.36014820ercot-regional-publicERCOT regional default (AEP Texas table)https://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.89316010008524.5true690.0183public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-14d6bb22ce0638e2Worsham Field Substation transmission line138ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31014.784200.609690913.671013253.731124.7242010132515.957-103.33410631.35631220ercot-tnp-publicTNPhttps://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.609690913.6767.524.5true1150.0277public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-14460f91f203f30069 kV transmission line69ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31011.580500.89316010001013252.866119.77350101325-122.7479-96.39897233.29210620ercot-regional-publicERCOT regional default (AEP Texas table)https://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.89316010008524.5true690.0183public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-143e253005ff87d7Midessa Substation → Midland West Substation138ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31011.761500.89316010001013253.8897154.8310101325-130.1437-102.17563331.96712420ercot-regional-publicERCOT regional default (AEP Texas table)https://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.89316010008524.5true1150.0277public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-1432bc903dda94f3Midkiff Switching Station transmission line69ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31012.021400.89316010001013254.5924151.1367010132539.3435-101.80701831.52134320ercot-regional-publicERCOT regional default (AEP Texas table)https://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.89316010008524.5true690.0183public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-1405c568ff1b5b97Victoria Switching Station → Dupont Switching Station138ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31015.733500.89316010001013253.035156.55490101325163.3971-96.94590528.69352320ercot-regional-publicERCOT regional default (AEP Texas table)https://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.89316010008524.5true1150.0277public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-13e9de761a238d48South Midland Substation transmission line138ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31011.678700.89316010001013253.8714156.48480101325-12.6954-102.01085131.93992120ercot-regional-publicERCOT regional default (AEP Texas table)https://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.89316010008524.5true1150.0277public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-13cd1a89ad5debc5Big Foot Substation → Pleasanton Substation138ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31016.123600.89316010001013252.796990.07080101325-88.2705-98.48492728.94829450ercot-regional-publicERCOT regional default (AEP Texas table)https://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.89316010008524.5true1150.0277public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-1355142806c9b5c5Stratton Substation → Bunsen Substation138ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31020.36900.89316010001013252.912819.94170101325-164.9707-97.87936427.62193520ercot-regional-publicERCOT regional default (AEP Texas table)https://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.89316010008524.5true1150.0277public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-134e507bd857c76f69 kV transmission line69ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31011.210800.89316010001013253.8222161.9685010132590.353-98.36108633.49642520ercot-regional-publicERCOT regional default (AEP Texas table)https://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.89316010008524.5true690.0183public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-0e2fc9e54373624769 kV transmission line69ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31011.430900.89316010001013253.7307153.4520101325132.0394-97.82411533.60687520ercot-regional-publicERCOT regional default (AEP Texas table)https://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.89316010008524.5true690.0183public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-12e4037f31536539Greens Bayou 69kV Substation → Channelview Substation69ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31018.955200.609690794.931013252.995358.50590101325-118.8386-95.15242429.77538720ercot-centerpoint-publicCenterPointhttps://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.609690794.937532.5true690.0183public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-1257dfe6ef4f54d5Smith Substation → Stevens Substation69ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31020.108900.89316010001013253.438535.59810101325-11.0318-97.61950727.8602120ercot-regional-publicERCOT regional default (AEP Texas table)https://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.89316010008524.5true690.0183public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-124e37a9f250bef6Temple South Substation → Scott and White Substation138ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31012.304600.89316010001013252.0746127.6345010132518.2933-97.36123631.07465520ercot-regional-publicERCOT regional default (AEP Texas table)https://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.89316010008524.5true1150.0277public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-11a0a15b95136d4a138 kV transmission line138ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31010.410600.89316010001013252.5544122.5997010132528.9062-95.69412232.96230120ercot-regional-publicERCOT regional default (AEP Texas table)https://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.89316010008524.5true1150.0277public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-130c311b569f4a79138 kV transmission line138ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31017.459100.89316010001013252.707654.45850101325-100.938-94.92370529.84558320ercot-regional-publicERCOT regional default (AEP Texas table)https://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.89316010008524.5true1150.0277public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-0ff7f0c89a413ab4Red Bluff Substation → Danevang Substation138ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31015.443700.89316010001013252.866258.63080101325179.0804-96.52482628.88607240ercot-regional-publicERCOT regional default (AEP Texas table)https://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.89316010008524.5true1150.0277public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-10b902e0341f77ebSulphur Springs Switching Station transmission line138ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31010.300800.89316010001013252.4986125.27990101325-159.233-95.61564933.08530220ercot-regional-publicERCOT regional default (AEP Texas table)https://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.89316010008524.5true1150.0277public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-109c3d1c0067a7ffAndrews County South Switching Station transmission line345ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31011.903700.89316010001013254.3111149.76070101325156.5556-102.84046932.28748620ercot-regional-publicERCOT regional default (AEP Texas table)https://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.89316010008524.5true3450.0304public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025
2026-10-19 09:00:00.0000002026-10-16 08:45:03.9679532026-10-15 01:57:21.000000ERCOTgrid-line-1031f57baa9340adCentral Bluff Substation transmission line345ambient_adjustedieee738-hrrr-v31010.668900.89316010001013253.1873163.5970101325158.3465-100.16704832.1013820ercot-regional-publicERCOT regional default (AEP Texas table)https://github.com/NREL/DynamicLineRatings/blob/d8e443eb09e428fb0fc8452370fd72fe8819f927/data/regional_assumptions.csv200.89316010008524.5true3450.0304public_forecast_fallbackd13f24d6-758a-46fe-9692-8004e05b71812026-10-16 10:41:47.391025

Coverage

100.0% complete0 gap days17 days with data
Show coverage history
Coverage: 100.0%Days with data: 17Gaps: 0
2026
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